Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.590139 0.651687 0.719854 0.801514 0.897434 1.007478 1.144672
2024-12-15 0.498482 0.589979 0.702594 0.854647 1.059966 1.336242 1.752761
2024-12-22 0.418554 0.520413 0.655878 0.856742 1.161823 1.637396 2.510142
2024-12-29 0.375617 0.486798 0.644881 0.900145 1.334828 2.126813 3.967606
2025-01-05 0.328447 0.437521 0.599778 0.878032 1.394124 2.460869 5.543141
2025-01-12 0.284876 0.386237 0.541525 0.818797 1.364705 2.604001 6.896295
2025-01-19 0.251222 0.345258 0.492654 0.764393 1.326147 2.708216 8.392289
2025-01-26 0.236950 0.332107 0.486337 0.784646 1.449830 3.318121 13.956062
2025-02-02 0.231817 0.332481 0.502253 0.850502 1.706443 4.602025 34.325478
2025-02-09 0.219557 0.319624 0.492846 0.862538 1.835857 5.638670 79.873352
2025-02-16 0.203327 0.298461 0.465568 0.830371 1.830489 6.108183 152.575236
2025-02-23 0.193863 0.287975 0.456815 0.837857 1.948350 7.444823 884.922644
2025-03-02 0.184725 0.278030 0.449411 0.851085 2.109299 9.633621 NaN
2025-03-09 0.176359 0.268976 0.443216 0.867965 2.306755 13.140924 NaN
2025-03-16 0.165735 0.254972 0.425528 0.852425 2.379604 16.150017 NaN
2025-03-23 0.160492 0.250354 0.426543 0.887154 2.696738 26.049689 NaN
2025-03-30 0.151010 0.236993 0.407473 0.861920 2.726714 31.949745 NaN
2025-04-06 0.139875 0.219746 0.378413 0.802792 2.557552 31.072334 NaN
2025-04-13 0.130082 0.204500 0.352524 0.749321 2.398376 29.860643 NaN
2025-04-20 0.126470 0.200808 0.351444 0.768717 2.640627 49.868377 NaN
2025-04-27 0.125983 0.203072 0.363782 0.832456 3.219070 165.745189 NaN
2025-05-04 0.122161 0.198466 0.359936 0.844057 3.493797 461.166954 NaN
2025-05-11 0.116163 0.189138 0.344216 0.812856 3.432579 665.960945 NaN